TickerCheck

Stock due diligence on demand.

Any listed company scored against a strict 100-point framework. For US and UK listings, insider dealing, dilution and short interest are taken straight from official filings. Red flags, hidden shifts and what's already priced in.

  1. 1Sign in by email. No password to remember.
  2. 2Add your own Anthropic API key. Anthropic bills you for what you run. See Terms.
  3. 3Type a ticker. The full report lands in about a minute.

£10 once for lifetime access · no subscription
Information only. Not financial or investment advice.
See a sample analysis

Sign in or sign up

Enter your email and we'll send you a link. No password to remember, and the same link works whether you're new here or coming back.

Sample analysis · a real run from 20 June 2026, reproduced in full. Not current: a live run uses today's data

Ticker
NBIS
Run analysis
Your Anthropic API key
sk-ant-api03-••••••••••••
NBISNASDAQNebius Group · AI cloud infrastructure
Sample run · 20 June 2026 · $285.50 at the time

Vertically integrated AI cloud / compute infrastructure provider (a ‘neocloud’).

Medium-High

Strong on most criteria, with some gaps.

Liquidity checkNon-scoringDEEP≥ 10× floor
Market cap
$71.00B
min $300M
Avg daily $ vol
$5.70B
min $5M
Avg daily volume
20.0M sh
 
GATE 1 · Setup & history5 / 8
Dilution discipline5 / 8

Share count ~254M and rising; $4.3B convertibles (March 2026) + $2B NVIDIA equity (March 2026).

Dilution funds an accretive, demand-backed, sold-out buildout.

GATE 2 · Quality & moat40 / 52
TAM & capturable share15 / 16

AI compute infrastructure: among the largest secular markets; neocloud tied to NVIDIA, Meta, Microsoft.

Enormous TAM with a credible path to a meaningful slice.

Moat / competitive advantage9 / 14

NVIDIA equity alignment, up to $27B Meta and $17.4B Microsoft contracts, scarce power/GPU capacity, full-stack integration.

Real edge, but more relationships-and-capacity than structural.

Scalability4 / 6

Operating leverage showing (gross margin 51%→74%) but scaling is capital-heavy ($20-25B capex).

Scales well; just not asset-light.

Founder & management7 / 8

Founder-led by Arkady Volozh (Yandex founder); deep technical pedigree.

The founder profile the method rewards.

Insider skin in the game5 / 8

NVIDIA put $2B of equity in; chairman John Boynton sold ~$1.47M of stock on 15 June.

Strong external validation; minor internal selling.

GATE 3 · The numbers28 / 40
Margins & trend8 / 12

Gross margin ~74%, group adj EBITDA ~32%, guiding ~40%; still an adjusted net loss (~$100M Q1).

Sharply improving, but losses under heavy capex.

Growth trajectory14 / 14

Revenue +684% YoY to $399M; ARR $1.9B guiding $7-9B; capacity sold out.

Exceptional and accelerating.

Valuation sanity6 / 14

~$71B cap, ~21x forward sales; trades above the ~$244 avg analyst target.

CalculatedP/S 20.9× · on FY2026 est. run-rate

Priced for heavy execution; Street sees downside.

Optionality / safety nets

Stakes/subsidiaries as safety nets: ~28% of ClickHouse, plus Toloka, Avride, TripleTen and the Eigen AI acquisition.

Balance sheet & resilience Non-scoring

Cash $9.30BDebt $8.43BNet cash $870.0M

Roughly $9.3B cash against about $8.4B of convertible notes after the March raises: net cash on paper, but the buildout is now funded with borrowed money.

Gate 4 · Tape & positioningNon-scoring
▲ Crowded?
Positioning scale
Very CrowdedEuphoric: price above target plus 3+ froth signals. Rare.
CrowdedPrice stretched above target, with one or two froth signals.
BalancedDefault. Well-followed, mixed views, including cheap-but-covered names.
QuietModest attention: limited coverage, low interest, but still followed.
OverlookedGenuinely neglected: thin/no coverage, no real institutional following.
Context only. Never affects the score. Measures ATTENTION, not price: a cheap but well-covered stock is Balanced, not Overlooked.

What’s priced in: The market already believes the thesis; buying here joins a consensus long rather than front-running it.

Why Crowded: heavy retail base, +230% YTD, price above avg analyst target, Nasdaq-100 inclusion

Institutional

Validated, but stretched

  • NVIDIA $2B stake plus up to $27B Meta and $17.4B Microsoft contracts.
  • 'Buy' consensus, yet avg target ~$244 sits below the ~$285 price.
  • Nasdaq-100 inclusion forces index buying: a telegraphed tailwind.
  • Short interest ~21% of float at the latest settlement: a heavily contested name.
Retail

Euphoric

  • A large retail base; among the most-held names on retail trading platforms.
  • Up ~230% YTD and ~500% over twelve months.
  • Heavy finfluencer attention: reflexive support that can reverse.
  • A contrarian 'time to sell' downgrade is out.
Score 73 on a crowded tape = a strong business the market already loves. Buying here is consensus, not edge; the identical 73 on a low-attention tape would be far more attractive.

Institutional signals are higher-confidence; retail signals are noisier and easier to game, so they are weighted lightly.

Narrative & timingPotential, variables & perception-based context.
1Sector OutlookStrong

AI-compute demand keeps drawing flows; as the pie grows a strong #2 neocloud benefits without needing to beat hyperscalers.

2Hidden ShiftsMixed

Much is now recognized; remaining unpriced angle is the ClickHouse/subsidiary value and vertical-integration optionality.

Read alongside Gate 4: Gate 4 = how crowded the trade is; this = what structural change isn’t priced yet.

3Strength VariablesMixed

Heavily tied to the AI-capex cycle; subsidiaries add ballast but a demand air-pocket would hurt.

4CatalystsStrong

Non-earnings catalysts landing: NVIDIA stake, Meta/Microsoft deals, Nasdaq-100 inclusion; founder-CEO; converts fund the runway.

Red flags

  • Trades above avg analyst target; a 'time to sell' downgrade is out.
  • Customer concentration in Meta and Microsoft.
  • Capital-intensive and levered: $20-25B capex funded by ~$8.4B of converts, ~$100M adj net loss in Q1.
  • Rich valuation (~21x forward sales).
  • US data-center build-out faces some political opposition.

Data gaps

  • Avg daily volume is estimated. NBIS is clearly highly liquid.
  • No confirmed recent insider buying by the CEO.

Not financial or investment advice. Scores are not buy/sell signals, only known strength & weakness indicators, i.e. a low score does not preclude an early or potential asymmetric opportunity. To be used in addition to your own due diligence, research & analysis.

Sign in or sign up · £10 lifetime

Trouble signing in? Links expire after 15 minutes. Request a fresh one.
 Terms · Privacy · Refunds · Contact
8stacks8 is a registered trade mark.